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Chiefs v Crusaders SuperRugby Semi-final Preview

Dan Carter and his All Black understudy Aaron Cruden will go head to head

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Article Published: Thursday 25 July 2013|

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There is a sense of deja vu with this match as the Chiefs and the Crusaders faced each other in Hamilton in the 2012 Super Rugby Semi-final and that match was won 20-17 by the Chiefs.

The Chiefs went on to win the Super Rugby title a week later after they beat a travel weary Sharks team.

The Chiefs have played the Crusaders 22 times in Super Rugby since March 1996 and the Chiefs have won 7 times and lost 15 times.

There have been no draws between the teams so the Chiefs have a record of winning 32% of their matches against the Crusaders.

Across all venues the average score when the Chiefs play the Crusaders is Chiefs 20 Crusaders 29.

This weekend the match will be played in Hamilton which is home for the Chiefs.

The Chiefs have had home advantage over the Crusaders on 12 occasions and they have won 5 times and lost 7 times.

In 1998 the Chiefs moved a match to Albany and in 2011 they played in Tauranga and they each won one match so the results cancel each other out.

In Hamilton the Chiefs have played the Crusaders 10 times and they have won four times and lost six times. That gives the Chiefs a record of winning 40 % of their home matches in Hamilton.

In Hamilton when the Chiefs play the Crusaders the average score is Chiefs 22 Crusaders 24.

Statistically the stats suggest that the Crusaders have a 60% chance of winning this Super Rugby Semi-final by two points. However stats don't always tell the whole story.

These teams met just two weeks ago and the Crusaders won the match 43-15 in Christchurch which is home for the Crusaders.

In Hamilton the Chiefs have won their last two matches against the Crusaders 28-19 (in May) and 20-17 (Jul 2012).

Before that though the Chiefs' last home victory against the Crusaders was way back in 2008. And before that in 1996.

In terms of recent form the Chiefs have won two out of their last three three matches as they beat their Blues in their last outing.

At home in Hamilton this year the Chiefs have played six matches and won 5 - they lost to the Reds. This gives them a record of winning 88% of their home matches this year.

The Crusaders on the other hand have played 8 away matches in 2013 and won just three matches giving them a record of winning 38% of their away matches.

Out of their last three away matches they have won two as they beat the Highlanders and the Brumbies but lost to the Chiefs.

The Chiefs will effectively be coming off a bye as they had last weekend off and they have made seven changes to the team that played the Blues two weeks ago. That means that almost half the team have not played a full match in three weeks.

The Crusaders have named an unchanged team for this week and they are the form team currently. They have the longest still current winning streak as they have won their last five matches and they have scored four tries of more in three of their last four matches.

Out of the Crusaders last ten matches they have only lost once - ironically to the Chiefs.

In last week's Crusaders match they found holes in the Reds defence in the centre-field which is also where the Chiefs look a little thin this week as Tim Nanai-Williams is out and Andrew Horrell comes into the starting line up.

The Bookies have given the Chiefs a 4 point start for this Match - with an offer of a FREE $150 BET. The Crusaders form in recent weeks can't be ignored and neither can the lack of recent game time by some of the Chiefs which could see the Crusaders catching their hosts a little cold at the start. The Crusaders should win this by two.

This Match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4/HD.

Average score: Chiefs 20 Crusaders 29

Last five results
05 Jul 2013 Chiefs v Crusaders 15-43 Christchurch
24 May 2013 Chiefs v Crusaders 28-19 Hamilton
27 Jul 2012 (Semi) Chiefs v Crusaders 20-17 Hamilton
06 Jul 2012 Chiefs v Crusaders 21-28 Hamilton
09 Mar 2012 Chiefs v Crusaders 24-19 Napier

Chiefs overall record against the Crusaders
Played 22 ,Wins 7 ,Losses 15 ,Draws 0

Super Rugby Semi-Final (Match D)
Match No.123/125: Chiefs v Crusaders
Date : Saturday 27 July, 2013
Venue : Waikato Stadium, Hamilton, New Zealand
Kick Off local: (1935 local, 1735 NSW/ACT, 0935 SAT, 0735 GMT)
Referee: Steve Walsh
Assistant Ref 1:Glen Jackson
Assistant Ref 2:Chris Pollock
TMO : Glenn Newman

Teams

Chiefs

1.Toby Smith , 2.Hika Elliot , 3.Ben Tameifuna , 4.Craig Clarke (c) , 5.Brodie Retallick , 6.Liam Messam , 7.Tanerau Latimer , 8.Matt Vant Leven , 9.Tawera Kerr-Barlow , 10.Aaron Cruden , 11.Asaeli Tikoirotuma , 12.Andrew Horrell , 13.Charlie Ngatai , 14.Lelia Masaga , 15.Gareth Anscombe

Replacements : 16.Rhys Marshall , 17.Ben Afeaki , 18.Michael Fitzgerald , 19.Sam Cane , 20.Augustine Pulu , 21.Bundee Aki , 22.Robbie Robinson.

Crusaders

1. Wyatt Crockett , 2. Corey Flynn ,3. Owen Franks , 4. Luke Romano , 5. Sam Whitelock , 6. George Whitelock , 7. Matt Todd , 8. Kieran Read (c) , 9. Andy Ellis , 10. Dan Carter , 11. Zac Guildford , 12. Tom Taylor , 13. Ryan Crotty , 14. Tom Marshall , 15. Israel Dagg ,

Replacements : 16. Ben Funnell , 17. Joe Moody , 18. Luke Whitelock , 19. Richie McCaw , 20. Willi Heinz , 21. Tyler Bleyendaal , 22. Adam Whitelock.

 
 
 
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