The Reds have slipped down into eighth place in the overall standings while the Lions are up to fourth in the overall standings following their victory over the Blues.
The Lions have a poor history against the Reds as they have played 15 matches against the Queenslanders and won just three times and drawn once.
That gives the Lions a record of winning just 20% of their matches against the Reds. The Reds therefore have a record of winning 73% of their matches against the Lions.
The average score when the Lions play the Reds across all venues is Lions 21 Reds 28.
This week the Lions will have home advantage as the match will be played in Johannesburg where the teams have met 8 times.
Even though it's the Lions home they have only won once and drawn once which means that they have lost six times at home.
That gives the Lions a record at home of winning 13% of their home matches against the Reds and the average score is Lions 23 Reds 31.
The key to the Lions success is flyhalf Marnitz Boshoff and his goal-kicking has been key with a success rate of 93% - the best in the competition – and he has already slotted six drop goals, which is the most thus far in 2014.
The Reds will have to be mindful of Boshoff when at Ellis Park on Saturday. If the Queenslanders continue the trend of conceding the most penalties and free kicks per match (an average of 14.5), the Lions flyhalf, who needs six points to be the first person to reach 100 season points, should have a number of shots at goal.
Two areas where the Lions will have to step up their game, is in terms of line breaks (2.4 per match) and beating defenders (10.2 per match), which are the lowest in 2014. Seeing that they are up against the team with the best tackling success rate in the competition (90%), it will be a tough ask for the home side.
The Reds have won their last three Super Rugby matches against the Lions but even they have admitted that the 2014 Lions are a different breed so the Reds will have their work cut out for them.
The Lions are enjoying better form than the Reds currently but the Reds have no shortage of experience which they can rely on to grind out a victory. The Bulls took Boshoff out of the game by playing deep and the Reds should be savvy enough to have worked out a plan for the Lions dangerman.
The Bookies have given the Lions a 4 point start for this Match - with an offer of a FREE $150 BET. We think this match will be very close. It could go either way but we think the Reds are just a touch more experienced and street wise and should edge it. The Reds should edge this by one.
This Match will be shown on TV in NZ, Aus, SA and in the UK on Sky Sports 4 on the Red Button
Average score: Lions 21 Reds 28
Last five results
19 May 2012 Lions v Reds 20-34 Brisbane
02 Apr 2011 Lions v Reds 25-30 Johannesburg
10 Apr 2010 Lions v Reds 26-41 Johannesburg
18 Apr 2009 Lions v Reds 31-20 Brisbane
22 Mar 2008 Lions v Reds 24-24 Johannesburg
Lions overall record against the Reds
Played 15 , Wins 3, Losses 11 , Draws 1
Match No.35:Lions v Reds
Date : Saturday 22 March
Venue : Ellis Park
Kick Off local: 17:05
Referee: Stuart Berry
Assistant Ref 1:Marius van der Westhuizen
Assistant Ref 2:Francois de Bruin
TMO : Johan Greeff
15. Coenie van Wyk , 14. JW Jonker , 13. Deon van Rensburg , 12. Stefan Watermeyer, 11. Courtnall Skosan , 10. Marnitz Boshoff, 9. Faf de Klerk , 8. Warren Whiteley (c), 7. Willie Britz , 6. Jaco Kriel , 5. Franco van der Merwe, 4. Franco Mostert, 3. Julian Redelinghuys, 2. Willie Wepener, 1. Schalk van der Merwe
Replacements : 16. Mark Pretorius, 17. Corne Fourie , 18. Ruan Dreyer, 19. MB Lusaseni , 20. Stephan de Wit, 21. Ross Cronje, 22. Lionel Mapoe, 23. Ruan Combrinck
1. James Slipper , 2. Saia Fainga'a , 3. Greg Holmes , 4. Rob Simmons , 5. James Horwill (C) , 6. Eddie Quirk , 7. Liam Gill , 8. Jake Schatz , 9. Will Genia (VC) , 10. Quade Cooper , 11. Lachie Turner , 12. Mike Harris , 13. Ben Tapuai , 14. Rod Davies , 15. Aidan Toua
Replacements : 16. James Hanson , 17. Albert Anae , 18. Jono Owen , 19. Ed O'Donoghue , 20. Beau Robinson , 21. Nick Frisby , 22. Anthony Fainga'a/Ben Lucas , 23. Dom Shipperley